KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJames Wood 88%Leader of 62 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$23K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 5.0%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Feb 5, 26, 3:00 PMOct 22, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aaron Judge1%
Compare venues· Kyle Schwarber
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · verified | Medium | 7% | 0pt | $62.1 | $47.7K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 4% | -3pt | $0 | $23K | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
MLB: Runs Leader
44.5 pts2mo
-1.6pt7%
+0.2pt4%
+0.5pt4%
+66 more outcomes
62 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$62.1
POLYMARKETRules
If Aaron Judge leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics.
- Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included.
- Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them.
- If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined.
- Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$233Jul 424d of dataJul 27
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If Aaron Judge leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics.
- Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included.
- Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them.
- If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined.
- Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No.