KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Real Madrid wins 1st Half (99%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 8:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Real Madrid wins 1st Half 98%+37.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$343.1K
Liquidity
$233K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 13, 26, 8:06 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Real Madrid wins 1st Half99%
Tie 1st Half1%
Elche wins 1st Half1%
98%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Elche is the winner of the first half in the Elche vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the the winner of the first half in the Elche vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
- If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal number of goals in the half, then the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
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