KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Matilde Mariani (99%)
Resolved: Sep 19, 2026, 4:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Matilde Mariani
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Matilde Mariani 99%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$458.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 26, 4:41 PM UTCSep 19, 26, 4:49 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Matilde Mariani99%
Lan Mi1%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Mi vs Mariani professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Mi vs Mariani professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mi vs Mariani?
- Kalshi prices Matilde Mariani at 99% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Mi vs Mariani resolve?
- Mi vs Mariani is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.
- How is Mi vs Mariani settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Mi vs Mariani professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.