Current implied probability
Lucia Natal 91%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$241.5K
Liquidity
$151.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 91.0%
Spread
5.8%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 10:43 PMJul 28, 26, 10:30 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lucia Natal91%
Large trades
$1.2k78.0%
KALSHIAriana Geerlings — No12m ago
KALSHIAriana Geerlings — No12m ago$1.3k99.0%KALSHILucia Natal — Yes22m ago
KALSHILucia Natal — Yes22m ago$1.9k73.0%KALSHIAriana Geerlings — Yes1h ago
KALSHIAriana Geerlings — Yes1h ago$1.4k92.0%KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago
KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago$1.9k93.0%KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago
KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago$1.2k93.0%KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago
KALSHILucia Natal — No1h ago$2.2k86.0%KALSHILucia Natal — No3h ago
KALSHILucia Natal — No3h ago$2.2k86.0%KALSHIAriana Geerlings — Yes3h ago
KALSHIAriana Geerlings — Yes3h agoRelated Markets
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If Ariana Geerlings wins the Geerlings vs Natal professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Kursumlijska Banja Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Geerlings vs Natal professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Kursumlijska Banja Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If Lucia Natal wins the Geerlings vs Natal professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Kursumlijska Banja Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.