KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Naoki Nakagawa (99%)
Resolved: Sep 4, 2026, 3:13 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Naoki Nakagawa
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Naoki Nakagawa 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$169.3K
Liquidity
$127.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 26, 9:12 AMSep 18, 26, 1:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Ryota Tanuma1%
Naoki Nakagawa73%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Nakagawa vs Tanuma professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nakagawa vs Tanuma professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nakagawa vs Tanuma?
- Kalshi prices Naoki Nakagawa at 99% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Nakagawa vs Tanuma resolve?
- Nakagawa vs Tanuma is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Nakagawa vs Tanuma settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Nakagawa vs Tanuma professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.