KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Sebastian Sorger (99%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 10:39 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Sebastian Sorger
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilitySebastian Sorger 99%
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$86.9K
Liquidity
$43.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 27, 26, 8:13 PMAug 11, 26, 8:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Maximilian Figl17%
Sebastian Sorger99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Rules
If Sebastian Sorger wins the Sorger vs Figl professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Sorger vs Figl professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.