KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Ivan Gretskiy (45%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 6:59 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Ivan Gretskiy
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 7:22 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityYu Tanaka 52.6%
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$823.7K
Liquidity
$347.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 61.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 27, 26, 5:13 PMAug 11, 26, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yu Tanaka50%
Ivan Gretskiy45%
52.6%
47.4%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.2k99.0%KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago
KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago$1.9k99.0%KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago
KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago$2.5k99.0%KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago
KALSHIIvan Gretskiy — Yes1h ago$2.5k99.0%KALSHIYu Tanaka — No1h ago
KALSHIYu Tanaka — No1h ago$2.5k99.0%KALSHIYu Tanaka — No1h ago
KALSHIYu Tanaka — No1h ago$1.0k42.0%KALSHIYu Tanaka — No2h ago
KALSHIYu Tanaka — No2h ago$1.5k60.0%KALSHIYu Tanaka — Yes2h ago
KALSHIYu Tanaka — Yes2h ago$1.6k64.0%KALSHIYu Tanaka — No2h ago
KALSHIYu Tanaka — No2h agoVolume trend
$823.7kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Ivan Gretskiy wins the Gretskiy vs Tanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Astana Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Gretskiy vs Tanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Astana Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.