KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Luca Castagnola (99%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 8:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Luca Castagnola
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 9:25 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityLuca Castagnola 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$203.2K
Liquidity
$116.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 7:13 PMAug 11, 26, 7:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Luca Parenti1%
Luca Castagnola99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.2k93.0%KALSHILuca Parenti — No3h ago
KALSHILuca Parenti — No3h ago$1.2k93.0%KALSHILuca Parenti — No3h ago
KALSHILuca Parenti — No3h ago$2.2k93.0%KALSHILuca Castagnola — Yes3h ago
KALSHILuca Castagnola — Yes3h ago$3.5k68.0%KALSHILuca Castagnola — Yes3h ago
KALSHILuca Castagnola — Yes3h agoVolume trend
$203.2kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If Luca Castagnola wins the Castagnola vs Parenti professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Castagnola vs Parenti professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.