KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Gabriel Sardo (97%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 9:43 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Gabriel Sardo
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Gabriel Sardo
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 10:02 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityGabriel Sardo 96%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$58.7K
Liquidity
$37.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 97.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 26, 26, 8:13 PMAug 10, 26, 8:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Gabriel Sardo97%
Gabriele Maria Piano4%
96%
4%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.5k95.0%KALSHIGabriele Maria Piano — No2d ago
KALSHIGabriele Maria Piano — No2d ago$2.4k95.0%KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d ago
KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d ago$1.2k97.0%KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d ago
KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d ago$1.8k97.0%KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d ago
KALSHIGabriel Sardo — Yes2d agoRelated Markets
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If Gabriele Maria Piano wins the Piano vs Sardo professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Piano vs Sardo professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Bolzano Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.