This market resolved: Lucas Marionneau (98%)
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, 4:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lucas Marionneau
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Lucas Marionneau
- Recorded
- Jul 23, 2026, 4:36 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMaxence Rivet 2%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$298.7K
Liquidity
$297K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingJul 23, 26, 1:12 AMAug 6, 26, 1:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Maxence Rivet2%
Lucas Marionneau98%
2%
98%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.9k99.0%
KALSHIMaxence Rivet — No46m ago
KALSHIMaxence Rivet — No46m ago$1.5k98.0%KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes51m ago
KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes51m ago$1.0k99.0%KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes55m ago
KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes55m ago$1.6k94.0%KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes59m ago
KALSHILucas Marionneau — Yes59m agoRelated Markets
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Maxence Rivet wins the Rivet vs Marionneau professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Rognac Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Rivet vs Marionneau professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Rognac Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.