This market resolved: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (87%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 11:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
- Recorded
- Jul 22, 2026, 11:45 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJuan Cruz Martin Manzano 87%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$106.1K
Liquidity
$70K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJul 21, 26, 8:12 PMAug 5, 26, 8:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano87%
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini13%
87%
13%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.3k98.0%
KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes38m ago
KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes38m ago$1.4k87.0%KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes41m ago
KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes41m ago$1.1k75.0%KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes2h ago
KALSHIJuan Cruz Martin Manzano — Yes2h agoVolume trend
$106.1kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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If Juan Cruz Martin Manzano wins the Martin Manzano vs Baragiola Mordini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Segrate Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Martin Manzano vs Baragiola Mordini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Segrate Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.