This market resolved: Raphael Perot (87%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 3:08 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Raphael Perot
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Raphael Perot
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 3:24 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityRaphael Perot 87%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$85.4K
Liquidity
$37.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 11:42 PMAug 4, 26, 11:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Raphael Perot87%
Emilien Demanet14%
87%
14%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.2k96.0%
KALSHIRaphael Perot — Yes3h ago
KALSHIRaphael Perot — Yes3h ago$2.4k95.0%KALSHIEmilien Demanet — No3h ago
KALSHIEmilien Demanet — No3h ago$1.0k40.0%KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago
KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago$1.4k41.0%KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago
KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago$1.0k69.0%KALSHIRaphael Perot — Yes4h ago
KALSHIRaphael Perot — Yes4h ago$1.2k46.0%KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago
KALSHIEmilien Demanet — Yes4h ago$1.1k46.0%KALSHIRaphael Perot — No4h ago
KALSHIRaphael Perot — No4h agoRelated Markets
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If Emilien Demanet wins the Demanet vs Perot professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Metzingen Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Demanet vs Perot professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Metzingen Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.