This market resolved: bautista de la Pena (83%)
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
bautista de la Pena
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- bautista de la Pena
- Recorded
- Jul 20, 2026, 9:21 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJoao Ogando Monteiro Machado 18%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$731.4K
Liquidity
$412.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 1:22 PMAug 3, 26, 4:17 PM
Probability Timeline
Joao Ogando Monteiro Machado9%
bautista de la Pena83%
18%
83%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.2k97.0%
KALSHIJoao Ogando Monteiro Machado — No10h ago
KALSHIJoao Ogando Monteiro Machado — No10h ago$1.3k89.0%KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes10h ago
KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes10h ago$1.8k84.0%KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes10h ago
KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes10h ago$1.0k82.0%KALSHIJoao Ogando Monteiro Machado — No10h ago
KALSHIJoao Ogando Monteiro Machado — No10h ago$1.7k95.0%KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes11h ago
KALSHIbautista de la Pena — Yes11h agoRelated Markets
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If bautista de la Pena wins the de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.