Current implied probability
Tiago Cacao 66%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$648.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 12:12 AMAug 1, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tiago Cacao66%
Large trades
$1.6k41.0%
KALSHITiago Cacao — No10m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — No10m ago$2.3k41.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — No10m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — No10m ago$3.4k67.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes12m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes12m ago$1.4k71.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes20m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes20m ago$2.6k68.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes34m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes34m ago$4.9k68.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes40m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes40m ago$1.6k64.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes41m ago
KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes41m ago$1.2k49.0%KALSHITiago Cacao — Yes49m ago
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Tiago Cacao wins the Cacao vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Castelo Branco Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Cacao vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Castelo Branco Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.