This market resolved: Carlos Maria Zarate (99%)
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, 5:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Carlos Maria Zarate
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarate
- Recorded
- Jul 16, 2026, 5:44 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilitySantiago Giamichelle 1%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9
Liquidity
$198.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 2:12 AMJul 30, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Santiago Giamichelle1%
Carlos Maria Zarate99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.0k98.0%
KALSHICarlos Maria Zarate — Yes2h ago
KALSHICarlos Maria Zarate — Yes2h ago$1.4k93.0%KALSHICarlos Maria Zarate — Yes2h ago
KALSHICarlos Maria Zarate — Yes2h agoRelated Markets
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If Santiago Giamichelle wins the Giamichelle vs Zarate professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Villa Constitucion Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Giamichelle vs Zarate professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Villa Constitucion Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.