This market resolved: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento (96%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 8:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
- Recorded
- Jul 15, 2026, 8:39 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 96%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$133.5K
Liquidity
$95.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 26, 6:12 PMJul 29, 26, 6:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento96%
Pablo Aunion3%
96%
3%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$7.3k99.0%
KALSHIPablo Aunion — No2h ago
KALSHIPablo Aunion — No2h ago$1.4k95.0%KALSHIPablo Aunion — No2h ago
KALSHIPablo Aunion — No2h ago$1.0k35.0%KALSHIPablo Aunion — Yes3h ago
KALSHIPablo Aunion — Yes3h ago$1.1k59.0%KALSHIPablo Aunion — Yes3h ago
KALSHIPablo Aunion — Yes3h agoVolume trend
$133.5kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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If Pablo Aunion wins the Aunion vs Alvarez Sarmiento professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Gandia Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Aunion vs Alvarez Sarmiento professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Gandia Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.