Current implied probability
Manuel Plunger 58%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$140.5K
Liquidity
$93.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 58.0%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 8:43 PMJul 28, 26, 8:30 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Manuel Plunger58%
Large trades
$1.9k88.0%
KALSHIManuel Plunger — Yes23s ago
KALSHIManuel Plunger — Yes23s ago$2.3k90.0%KALSHIManuel Plunger — Yes15m ago
KALSHIManuel Plunger — Yes15m ago$1.5k85.0%KALSHIDaniel Siniakov — Yes47m ago
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If Daniel Siniakov wins the Siniakov vs Plunger professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Kramsach Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Siniakov vs Plunger professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Kramsach Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.