Current implied probability
Matthew Thomson 48%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$141.3K
Liquidity
$109.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 48.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 9:12 AMJul 28, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Matthew Thomson48%
Volume trend
$141.3kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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If Axel Nefve wins the Nefve vs Thomson professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Rochester NY Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nefve vs Thomson professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Rochester NY Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.