Current implied probability
Luca Castagnola 21%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$515.3
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
10.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 2:11 AMJul 18, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Luca Castagnola21%
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If Luca Castagnola wins the Castagnola vs Cerny professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Umag Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Castagnola vs Cerny professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Umag Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If Matyas Cerny wins the Castagnola vs Cerny professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Umag Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.