KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Gabriele Maria Noce (97%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 10:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Gabriele Maria Noce
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Gabriele Maria Noce 98%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$69K
Liquidity
$46K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 5:21 PMSep 4, 26, 8:30 AM
Probability Timeline
David Wallechner2%
Gabriele Maria Noce97%
98%
2%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Wallechner vs Noce professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Mistelbach Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Wallechner vs Noce professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Mistelbach Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Wallechner vs Noce?
- Kalshi prices Gabriele Maria Noce at 98% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Wallechner vs Noce resolve?
- Wallechner vs Noce is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Wallechner vs Noce settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Wallechner vs Noce professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Mistelbach Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.