KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Goncalo Marques (56%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 1:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Goncalo Marques
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Tristan McCormick 50.4%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.7M
Liquidity
$926.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
48.0% / 52.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 6:11 PMSep 4, 26, 10:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tristan McCormick57%
Goncalo Marques56%
50.4%
49.6%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the McCormick vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the McCormick vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for McCormick vs Marques?
- Kalshi prices Tristan McCormick at 50% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does McCormick vs Marques resolve?
- McCormick vs Marques is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is McCormick vs Marques settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the McCormick vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.