KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Rodrigo Fernandes (92%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 10:57 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Rodrigo Fernandes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Rodrigo Fernandes 91.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$245.8K
Liquidity
$122.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 93.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 5:11 PMSep 4, 26, 8:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Rodrigo Fernandes92%
Philip Henning9%
91.1%
8.9%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Henning vs Fernandes professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Henning vs Fernandes professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Henning vs Fernandes?
- Kalshi prices Rodrigo Fernandes at 91% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Henning vs Fernandes resolve?
- Henning vs Fernandes is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Henning vs Fernandes settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Henning vs Fernandes professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Idanha-a-Nova Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.