KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Ryuki Matsuda (97%)
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, 3:38 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Ryuki Matsuda
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityRyuki Matsuda 98%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$877.3K
Liquidity
$481.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 16, 26, 1:42 PMAug 31, 26, 1:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Ren Nakamura2%
Ryuki Matsuda97%
2%
98%
Rules
If Ryuki Matsuda wins the Matsuda vs Nakamura professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Taipei Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Matsuda vs Nakamura professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Taipei Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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