KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Adrian Arcon (99%)
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, 1:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityAdrian Arcon 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2M
Liquidity
$907.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 3:11 PMAug 26, 26, 3:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Adrian Arcon99%
Shintaro Imai1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Adrian Arcon wins the Arcon vs Imai professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Tianjin Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Arcon vs Imai professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Tianjin Round of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.