KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Bosio / Cruz Martin Manzano (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:26 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Bosio / Cruz Martin Manzano
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 7:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Bosio / Cruz Martin Manzano 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.3K
Liquidity
$9.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 21, 26, 5:41 PMSep 4, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
De Bernardis / Spadola1%
Bosio / Cruz Martin Manzano99%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Lesa Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Lesa Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If any player on either team does not participate in the match, even if a replacement plays and the match still takes place with some of the original players/teams, the event is considered a different match and all markets will be settled at $0.50.
- If a player/team withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that team will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.