CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
At least 49 94%+5.0pt
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$92.9
Low liquidity
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spread
Market data
Updated 124 days ago
Stale
Apr 2, 26, 2:00 PMMay 31, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
At least 49
+5.0 pts
94%
At least 50
0.0 pts
81%
At least 51
+8.0 pts
70%
At least 52
+2.0 pts
55%
At least 53
+4.0 pts
37%
At least 54
+12.0 pts
17%
At least 55
-1.0 pts
7%
At least 56
0.0 pts
2%
Rules
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for April 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is the named outcome in Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for ISM Manufacturing PMI in April 2026?
Kalshi prices At least 49 at 94% as of April 30, 2026.
When does ISM Manufacturing PMI in April 2026 resolve?
ISM Manufacturing PMI in April 2026 is scheduled to resolve on May 31, 2026.
How is ISM Manufacturing PMI in April 2026 settled?
Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for April 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is the named outcome in Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.