KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,430 or above 71%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4
Liquidity
$12.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 82.0%
Spread
141.2%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 8:00 PMJul 27, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,430 or above71%
Volume trend
$1Jul 252d of dataJul 26
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If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7249.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 27, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 27, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7254.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.