KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: No (97%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- No
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 4:19 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNo 97%
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.8K
Liquidity
$5.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleJul 22, 26, 12:00 AMJul 22, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes3%
No97%
3%
97%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 97% | — | $13.8K | $5.2K | 4 days ago | |
 Limitless71% match · auto | Low | 67% | — | $7.9K | $0 | 4 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (67.4%)
67.3%
32.7%
26 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.9K
24h Vol$7.9K
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 22, 2026 is above 7509.20, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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LIMITLESSS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
$29.7K$720: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 22, 2026 is above 7509.20, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.