KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 17, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- No
- Recorded
- Jul 24, 2026, 9:07 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNo 99%
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.3K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleJul 17, 26, 12:00 AMJul 17, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $19.3K | $16.3K | 9 days ago | |
 Limitless90% match · auto | Low | 50% | — | $0 | $0 | 9 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (50%)
50%
50%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 17, 2026 is above 7533.77, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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$38.3KYes: 46%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
$24.5K$720: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 17, 2026 is above 7533.77, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.