KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probabilityYes 1%
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.5K
Liquidity
$20.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 12:00 AMJul 8, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (50%)
50%
50%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$2.2K
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
44.0%Closed
Resolved
Down (100%)
-0.4%0%
+0.4%100%
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$252K
24h Vol$250.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 08, 2026 is above 7503.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 08, 2026 is above 7503.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.