KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
84%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityYes 99%+29.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.5K
Liquidity
$14.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 12:00 AMJul 6, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (98.8%)
98.7%
1.3%
27 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$13.3K
24h Vol$10.1K
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?
29.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
Up (100%)
+0.3pt100%
-0.3pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$91.4K
24h Vol$38.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 06, 2026 is above 7483.24, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$30.5kJul 52d of dataJul 6
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 06, 2026 is above 7483.24, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.