KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMarco 98%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$438
Liquidity
$5.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 10:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Bertha1%
Volume trend
$438Jul 323d of dataJul 28
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On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
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9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
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Rules
If a storm named Arthur is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Bertha is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Edouard is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.