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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Weather
  3. What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

WeatherYearly5mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Arthur
Arthur 28%
Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$3.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

21.0% / 28.0%

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 15, 26, 10:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Arthur28%

Rules

If a storm named Arthur is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a storm named Bertha is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Cristobal is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Dolly is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Edouard is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?

$0
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What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

$0
Akoni: 0%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$234.8
2nd hottest: 86%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

$200
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On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

$100
Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 54.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$99.8
<4m: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

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Rules

If a storm named Arthur is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a storm named Bertha is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Cristobal is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Dolly is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Edouard is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.