US housing starts for March 2026
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 1.325M (63%)
Resolved: Apr 29, 2026, 2:42 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above 1.325M 63%-7.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 180 days ago
StaleMar 6, 26, 3:00 PMMay 5, 26, 1:55 PM
Trends
63%
35%
16%
11%
10%
8%
8%
7%
Rules
If US housing starts value for March 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate) is the named outcome units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for March 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics).
- If the March 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the March 2026 Housing Starts value.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US housing starts for March 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.325M at 63% as of March 5, 2026.
- When does US housing starts for March 2026 resolve?
- US housing starts for March 2026 is scheduled to resolve on May 5, 2026.
- How is US housing starts for March 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If US housing starts value for March 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate) is the named outcome units, then the market resolves to Yes.