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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 31, 2026?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 31, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 31, 2026?

29.0% (24h)Foreign ExchangeTechDailyWeather
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: 72° to 73° (99%)

Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 11:33 AM

Winning Outcome

72° to 73°

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
70° to 71°
70° to 71° 1%-29.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$914.4

Liquidity

$716.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 12 days ago

Stale
May 30, 26, 2:00 PMJun 1, 26, 8:00 AM

Probability Timeline

70° to 71°1%
68° to 69°1%
72° to 73°99%
74° to 75°1%
67° or below1%
76° or above1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 1
Outcome24hChance
70° to 71°
70° to 71°
-29.0%
1%
68° to 69°
68° to 69°
-12.0%
1%
72° to 73°
72° to 73°
+71.0%
99%
74° to 75°
74° to 75°
-15.0%
1%
67° or below
67° or below
-7.0%
1%
76° or above
76° or above
-7.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for May 31, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.

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Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for May 31, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.