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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 27, 2026?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 27, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 27, 2026?

74.0% (24h)TechWeather
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: 70° or above (99%)

Resolved: May 28, 2026, 11:32 AM

Winning Outcome

70° or above

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
70° or above
70° or above 99%+74.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$961.7

Liquidity

$586.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 16 days ago

Stale
May 26, 26, 2:00 PMJun 3, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

70° or above99%
68° to 69°1%
64° to 65°1%
66° to 67°1%
62° to 63°1%
61° or below1%
0%25%50%75%100%May 27May 27May 28
Outcome24hChance
70° or above
70° or above
+74.0%
99%
68° to 69°
68° to 69°
-32.0%
1%
64° to 65°
64° to 65°
-10.0%
1%
66° to 67°
66° to 67°
-22.0%
1%
62° to 63°
62° to 63°
-2.0%
1%
61° or below
61° or below
-1.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for May 27, 2026, is less than 62° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.

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Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for May 27, 2026, is less than 62° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.