Current implied probability
87° or below 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.5
Liquidity
$4.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 8.0%
Spread
300.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 14, 26, 2:00 PMJun 16, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
87° or below1%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
18h
32%
32%
11%
+8 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.9K
24h Vol$3.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.