Current implied probability
99° or above 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:00 PMJul 12, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
99° or above1%
Compare venues· 90° or below
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 35% | — | $16.2K | $43.4K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 45% | — | $5.8K | $5.6K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Houston on July 11?
2.5%9h
+14.5%35%
+3.5%31%
+19.8%22%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.9K
24h Vol$16.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5.8kJul 102d of dataJul 11
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.