Current implied probability
101° or above 3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 2:00 PMJul 5, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
101° or above3%
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 93° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.