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  3. Highest temperature in Dallas on Jun 15, 2026?
Highest temperature in Dallas on Jun 15, 2026?

Highest temperature in Dallas on Jun 15, 2026?

TechDailyWeather1d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
84° to 85°
84° to 85° 35%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1

Liquidity

$1.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

18.0% / 36.0%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Jun 14, 26, 2:00 PMJun 16, 26, 6:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

84° to 85°35%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?

Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?

17h
82-83°F
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
84-85°F
27%
80-81°F
80-81°F
22%

+8 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$8.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jun 15, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.