Current implied probability
102° to 103° 20%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 25, 26, 2:00 PMJul 27, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
102° to 103°20%
Compare venues· 100° to 101°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | High | 45% | — | $21.2K | $41.7K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 58% | — | $3.3K | $2.5K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 26?
5h
+11.0%45%
25%
-2.5%19%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$24K
24h Vol$21.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.3kJul 252d of dataJul 26
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FORECASTEXActive in these topics
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.