Current implied probability
87° or below 28%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 34.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 2:00 PMJul 15, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
87° or below28%
Volume trend
$11.6kJul 132d of dataJul 14
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 14, 2026?
$102.2K82° or above: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 14, 2026?
$42.8K96° to 97°: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
$35K90° to 91°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 15?
$49.1K15°C: 75%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 15?
$37.4K28°C: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 15?
$21.8K88-89°F: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 5 Closes In on Opus 4.8 at a Fraction of the PriceDecryptAI Legal Document Review Gains Momentum in 2026Blockchain.NewsRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.