Current implied probability
90° or above 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
300.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:00 PMJul 12, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
90° or above1%
Volume trend
$3.0kJul 102d of dataJul 11
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If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 82-83°, then the market resolves to Yes.