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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Highest temperature in Miami on Jun 4, 2026?
Highest temperature in Miami on Jun 4, 2026?

Highest temperature in Miami on Jun 4, 2026?

35.0% (24h)TechDailyWeather
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: 85° to 86° (99%)

Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, 12:02 PM

Winning Outcome

85° to 86°

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
83° to 84°
83° to 84° 1%-35.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.2K

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale
Jun 3, 26, 2:00 PMJun 5, 26, 4:59 AM

Probability Timeline

83° to 84°89%
85° to 86°99%
81° to 82°1%
87° or above8%
79° to 80°1%
78° or below1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4
Outcome24hChance
83° to 84°
83° to 84°
-35.0%
1%
85° to 86°
85° to 86°
+89.0%
99%
81° to 82°
81° to 82°
-35.0%
1%
87° or above
87° or above
-3.0%
1%
79° to 80°
79° to 80°
-9.0%
1%
78° or below
78° or below
-3.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
  • Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
  • If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
  • Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
  • If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.