Current implied probability
90° or below 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:00 PMJul 12, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
90° or below1%
Compare venues· 95° to 96°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 52% | — | $7.6K | $42.8K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Low | 44% | — | $2.2K | $2K | 6 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Denver on July 11?
12.1%8h
+13.0%52%
-4.0%28%
+7.0%18%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.5K
24h Vol$7.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 91°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 91-92°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.2kJul 102d of dataJul 11
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If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 91°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 91-92°, then the market resolves to Yes.