Current implied probability
94° or above 99%+55.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$75.9K
Liquidity
$51.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:00 PMJul 9, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
94° or above99%
Compare venues· 94° or above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 99% | — | $75.9K | $51.5K | 1 minute ago | |
 Polymarket82% match · auto | High | 42% | — | $16.2K | $53.6K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Denver on July 9?
1.0%6h
+7.0%42%
+1.0%31%
+4.9%16%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$18.2K
24h Vol$16.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 08, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 08, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 86-87°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$75.9kJul 73d of dataJul 9
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If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 08, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 08, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 86-87°, then the market resolves to Yes.