Current implied probability
79° or above 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$252.4
Liquidity
$173.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 15, 26, 2:00 PMJun 17, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
79° or above1%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 16?
1.4%Awaiting resolution
+19.0%50%
+12.0%23%
-14.0%20%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$12.9K
24h Vol$10.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 16, 2026, is less than 71° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 16, 2026, is between 71-72° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 16, 2026, is less than 71° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 16, 2026, is between 71-72° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.