Current implied probability
73° or below 9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.1
Liquidity
$19.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 14, 26, 2:00 PMJun 16, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
73° or below9%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
18h
38%
32%
14%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.9K
24h Vol$5.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 15, 2026, is less than 74° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 15, 2026, is between 74-75° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jun 14, 2026?
$574.473° to 74°: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jun 14, 2026?
$1.7K76° or above: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 14, 2026?
$1.1K84° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
$42.7K21°C: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
$42.1K28°C: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Google's DiffusionGemma Boosts AI Text Generation on NVIDIA GPUsBlockchain.News
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.News
Nvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto News
Big tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindesk
Modern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraphRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 15, 2026, is less than 74° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 15, 2026, is between 74-75° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.