Current implied probability
88° to 89° 8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200.7
Liquidity
$161.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
28.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:00 PMJun 12, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
88° to 89°8%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 11?
0.9%3h
-1.5%29%
+3.0%28%
+3.0%18%
+8 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$26.1K
24h Vol$18.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 11, 2026, is less than 86° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 11, 2026, is between 86-87° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 11, 2026, is less than 86° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 11, 2026, is between 86-87° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.