What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment?
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Constitutional / Constitution (99%)
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, 6:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Infringe / Infringed / Infringement 99%+25.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 141 days ago
StaleApr 13, 26, 6:00 PMApr 16, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
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1%
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Rules
If Thomas Massie says the named outcome as part of Homeland Security & Government Affairs hearing on The Second Amendment , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Homeland Security & Government Affairs hearing on The Second Amendment will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Homeland Security & Government Affairs hearing on The Second Amendment will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
- the named outcome: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "the named outcome" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Thomas Massie speaking in an official capacity. If Thomas Massie is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
- Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment??
- Kalshi prices Infringe / Infringed / Infringement at 99% as of April 13, 2026.
- When does What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment? resolve?
- What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment? is scheduled to resolve on April 16, 2026.
- How is What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Thomas Massie says the named outcome as part of Homeland Security & Government Affairs hearing on The Second Amendment , then the market resolves to Yes.