KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityabove $3928 96%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 100.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 9:00 AMJul 8, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
above $392896%
Related Markets
Gold price on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$211.6Kabove $4119: 35%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brent crude oil price on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$102.3Kabove $75: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Silver price on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$90.1Kabove $61: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?
$38KUp: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on July 7?
$40.3K$65: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
$14.2KUp: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%Blockchain.News
Why a selloff in gold and silver is dragging bitcoin downCoindesk
Tether putting $23 billion gold stockpile to work with bullion-backed loansCoindeskHormuz reopening cools oil shock as Polymarket no-cut 2026 Fed odds dipBlockchain.NewsHormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on July 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3928 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on July 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3938 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.